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2026-08-05 16 builders · 35 tweets · 1 podcasts · 0 blogs

🔥 热点话题

Chai Discovery:药物设计也是规模化问题Chai Discovery: Drug Design Is Another Scaling Problem

The Takeaway:药物发现不必永远是大海捞针,用足够简单、可规模化的模型,就能把“试错”变成真正的分子设计。

Chai Discovery 联合创始人 Josh 与 Matt 正在把 AI 变成生物学的“工程语言”。他们的核心信念是 bitter lesson:不要堆复杂模块,而是靠数据、算力与模型规模把问题推到极限。早期抗体设计成功率只有 0.1%,Chai-2 已做到约 15%,足以开始统计分子性质并持续爬坡。他们坚持从零训练模型,而不是微调通用大模型,并强调验证必须诚实——湿实验误差很大,只有显著跨步才算进步。

公司选择与辉瑞、诺华、礼来等药企合作,而不是自建管线,因为“模型越好,伙伴用得越多,数据飞轮越强”。Josh 说:“我们不是在和别的模型公司竞争,而是在和自然本身竞争。”目标是打造分子的计算机辅助设计套件,让从想法到可测试假设的周期从九个月缩短到九周甚至九天。

他们最兴奋的是:零样本设计的分子已进入真实项目,未来几年可能有成百上千个 Chai 分子进入人体试验。
The Takeaway: Drug discovery does not have to stay a needle-in-a-haystack problem. With sufficiently simple, scalable models, trial-and-error can become true molecular design.

Chai Discovery co-founders Josh and Matt are turning AI into an engineering language for biology. Their guiding principle is the bitter lesson: skip elaborate submodules and push data, compute, and model scale instead. Early antibody design hit rates sat at 0.1%; Chai-2 reaches roughly 15%, enough to start measuring drug-like properties and climb further. They train models from scratch rather than fine-tuning general LLMs, and insist on rigorous wet-lab verification because error bars are large—only clear step-changes count as progress.

They partner with Pfizer, Novartis, Lilly and others instead of building their own pipeline, because better models drive more usage, more data, and a stronger flywheel. Josh notes: “We are not competing against other model providers; we are competing against nature.” The vision is a computer-aided design suite for molecules that compresses the idea-to-hypothesis loop from nine months to nine weeks or nine days.

What excites them most: zero-shot molecules are already entering real programs, and within a few years hundreds of Chai-designed molecules could reach patients.
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企业 AI 落地仍极度碎片化Enterprise AI Strategies Remain Wildly Heterogeneous

Box CEO Aaron Levie 指出,与早期云时代只有少数部署模式不同,企业现在的 AI 策略五花八门。编码 agent、员工生产力 agent、模型选择(闭源 vs 开源)、数据访问方式、安全护栏,几乎每家公司都不一样。这意味着市场格局远未定型,未来数年仍有巨大机会。
Box CEO Aaron Levie observes that, unlike the early cloud era with only a few viable deployment patterns, enterprise AI strategies today are highly heterogeneous. Coding agents, end-user productivity tools, model choices (closed vs open-source), data-access patterns, and guardrails differ widely across companies. This early fragmentation means market outcomes are far from settled and substantial opportunity remains for years.
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Sam Altman:宁愿做乐观的行动派Sam Altman: Better an Optimist Who Builds

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 强调,社会需要愿意尝试的人,而不是不断写“这永远行不通”的悲观文章。失败是最可能的路径,但如果不尝试,社会就会停滞。
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman argues that society needs people willing to try, not endless essays explaining why things will never work. Failure is the most likely path, yet without those attempts society stalls.
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💰 创业成功案例

Rivo:自驾式个人财务管理Rivo: Self-Driving Personal Finance

SPC 合伙人 Aditya Agarwal 介绍他们投资的 Rivo。Rivo 的 agent 连接用户现有支票账户,学习现金流,自动把闲置资金扫入国债收益,并在账单到期前及时调回。核心难点是非对称成本下的预测:早一天回来只损失一点收益,晚一天则可能让账单跳票并摧毁信任。创始人此前在 Cruise 做过 L4 自动驾驶,已解决过更难的问题。
SPC partner Aditya Agarwal details their investment in Rivo. Its agents connect to existing checking accounts, learn cash-flow patterns, sweep idle dollars into Treasury yield, and return them before bills hit. The hard part is prediction under asymmetric cost: returning a day early costs a little yield; a day late can bounce a bill and destroy trust. The founder previously shipped L4 autonomy at Cruise, having already solved a harder version of the same problem.
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Vercel 成为后端的 VercelVercel Is Becoming the Vercel for Backends

Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch 指出 FactoryAI 用 Fluid compute 支撑每月数十亿请求的 API 服务,并展示了 AI SDK 一行代码即可节省 DeepSeek v4 Flash 90% 以上 token 成本的案例。
Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch highlights that FactoryAI powers its API services with Fluid compute at billions of requests per month, and shows how one line of AI SDK code can cut DeepSeek v4 Flash token costs by 90% or more.
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🛠️ 开发者工具与技巧

产品验证先用最强模型,再生产再优化成本Prototype on Frontier Models, Optimize Later

Meta AI 高级总监 Madhu Guru 给出明确 playbook:先用最贵最好的前沿模型做原型,验证用户体验;6-8 周后当开源权重模型追上时,再把生产负载迁移到更小、更便宜的模型。不要一上来就选最便宜的。
Meta AI Senior Director Madhu Guru lays out a clear playbook: prototype with the best frontier models regardless of cost to validate the user experience; only after 6-8 weeks, when open-weight models catch up, move production workloads to smaller, cheaper models. Never start with the cheapest option.
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Google Notebook 统一提示栏,专注思考而非切换模式Google Notebook Keeps a Single Unified Prompt Bar

Google Labs VP Josh Woodward 介绍 Notebook 的设计理念:别人加更多模式,Notebook 坚持单一统一提示栏,让用户专注思考而不是来回切换。Ultra 与 Pro 用户已可使用,即将向所有人开放。
Google Labs VP Josh Woodward describes Notebook’s philosophy: while others add more modes, Notebook keeps everything in a single unified prompt bar so users can focus on thinking instead of toggling. Available now for Ultra and Pro subscribers, rolling out to everyone soon.
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知识图谱终于火了:因为智能已足够便宜Knowledge Graphs Are Trending Because Intelligence Is Now Cheap

Swyx 观察到,本体与图知识之所以现在才真正流行,是因为“足够好的智能”已便宜到几乎可忽略成本。知识图谱最难的部分如今成本极低,智能被商品化后,互补品的价值反而上升。
Swyx notes that ontologies and graph knowledge are finally trending because “good enough” intelligence has become too cheap to meter. The hardest part of knowledge graphs is now inexpensive; once intelligence is commoditized, its complements rise in value.
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技术采用是社会与情感过程,而非纯理性计算Technology Adoption Is Social and Emotional, Not Purely Rational

Zara Zhang 指出,人们采用新技术很少是因为“效率提升 10 倍”,而是因为看到相似的人用了之后变得更酷、更富、更受尊重,或者害怕被落下。扩散是社会过程,营销信息应强调“像你一样的人用了之后生活变好了”。
Zara Zhang argues that most people do not adopt new technology because it makes them 10x more efficient. They adopt because someone similar succeeded with it, or because they fear being left behind. Diffusion is a social process; messaging should highlight “someone like you used this and their life got better.”
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把 agent 放进团队群聊是最好的 AI 培训Best AI Training: Drop an Agent into the Team Chat

Zara Zhang 建议:与其搞正式 AI 赋能课程,不如直接把 agent 拉进团队群聊,让大家亲眼看它工作。这是最有效的培训方式。
Zara Zhang recommends that instead of formal AI enablement programs, companies should simply pull an agent into the team group chat and let people watch it work. That is the most effective training.
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🌍 其他动态

OpenAI 网络安全强化,迎来 Halvar FlakeOpenAI Strengthens Cyber with Halvar Flake

OpenAI Codex & ChatGPT 团队的 Thibault Sottiaux 宣布欢迎安全专家 Halvar Flake 即将加入,进一步强化网络安全能力。
Thibault Sottiaux of OpenAI’s Codex & ChatGPT team announces the upcoming arrival of security expert Halvar Flake, strengthening the company’s cyber capabilities.
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SaaS 与服务的新边界SaaS as a Funnel into Higher-Margin Services

Peter Yang 观察到,如今 vibe-code 一个 SaaS 更可能只是自助漏斗,真正赚钱的是后续高价服务。但服务又容易变成“时间换钱”的咨询模式。
Peter Yang notes that vibe-coding a SaaS these days often serves mainly as a self-serve funnel into higher-priced services. The downside is that services can feel like classic time-for-money consulting again.
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Airtable 估值引发 SaaS 创始人复杂情绪Airtable Exit Sparks Mixed Feelings Among SaaS Founders

VC Matt Turck 调侃:大家都在说 Airtable 卖得太便宜,但很多 SaaS 创始人私下觉得“至少他们有退出”。
VC Matt Turck quips that while everyone on X laments Airtable’s low sale price, many SaaS founders privately think “at least they got an exit.”
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高效会议的新标准:当场把事做完Efficient Meetings Leave Zero To-Do Lists

Zara Zhang 提出判断会议是否高效的标准:会后不应留下待办清单,因为所有行动(由实时监听的 agent 或人)都应在会议期间完成。说与做之间的差距应为零。
Zara Zhang proposes a new efficiency test for meetings: no to-do list should remain afterward, because every action—whether by real-time listening agents or humans—should be completed during the meeting itself. The gap between saying and doing should be zero.
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