微软CTO Kevin Scott:为Agent打造的互联网愿景Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott on the Agentic Web
The Takeaway:真正的瓶颈不是模型能力,而是把Agent接入真实世界所需的协议、记忆和生态系统,就像当年HTTP对互联网的意义。
微软CTO Kevin Scott(同时是资深程序员和木工)指出,去年大家还在质疑scaling laws,今年重点已转向“agentic web”。模型的推理能力已经超前于产品落地,形成“capability overhang”。Agent目前记忆受限、偏事务性,难以处理复杂长期任务。要让它们真正有用,必须能调用工具、修改系统、访问多元信息源,这就需要类似互联网的开放生态。MCP就像HTTP,NL Web就像HTML,简单可组合的开放协议正在涌现。Scott在微软内部推动所有系统统一协议,避免“你交付的是组织架构图”。安全上,他主张在开放基础上加上Agent身份、权限请求和用户确认,而不是封闭堆栈。关于编程工艺,他类比木工的手工具vs CNC争论:热爱工艺的人会有强烈偏好,但要保持好奇,试了有用就用。未来不会是单一Agent统治,而是大量针对细分问题的产品型Agent。一年后,借口“还不成熟”的人会被甩在后面,异步Agent(下达任务后长时间自主迭代再回来)将成为常态。
“Be curious. Try. And if it works for you, use it. And if it doesn’t, don’t.”
微软CTO Kevin Scott(同时是资深程序员和木工)指出,去年大家还在质疑scaling laws,今年重点已转向“agentic web”。模型的推理能力已经超前于产品落地,形成“capability overhang”。Agent目前记忆受限、偏事务性,难以处理复杂长期任务。要让它们真正有用,必须能调用工具、修改系统、访问多元信息源,这就需要类似互联网的开放生态。MCP就像HTTP,NL Web就像HTML,简单可组合的开放协议正在涌现。Scott在微软内部推动所有系统统一协议,避免“你交付的是组织架构图”。安全上,他主张在开放基础上加上Agent身份、权限请求和用户确认,而不是封闭堆栈。关于编程工艺,他类比木工的手工具vs CNC争论:热爱工艺的人会有强烈偏好,但要保持好奇,试了有用就用。未来不会是单一Agent统治,而是大量针对细分问题的产品型Agent。一年后,借口“还不成熟”的人会被甩在后面,异步Agent(下达任务后长时间自主迭代再回来)将成为常态。
“Be curious. Try. And if it works for you, use it. And if it doesn’t, don’t.”
The Takeaway: The real bottleneck is not model capability but the protocols, memory, and ecosystem that let agents take real actions in the world—the same role HTTP played for the internet.
Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott (long-time programmer and woodworker) notes that last year’s scaling-law doubts have given way to the agentic web. Reasoning has pulled ahead of product delivery, creating a capability overhang. Current agents are transactional and memory-constrained, limiting complex delegation. True usefulness requires tool use, system changes, and rich information sources—an internet-like open ecosystem. MCP is the HTTP of this world; NL Web the HTML. Simple, composable open protocols are emerging. Inside Microsoft he pushes every internal system to speak a standard agent protocol so the company does not ship its org chart. On security he favors open foundations plus agent identities, entitlement queries, and explicit user permission rather than closed stacks. On the craft of coding he compares the old hand-tools-vs-power-tools (and now CNC) debates in woodworking: passionate makers will always have strong opinions, but stay curious—try new tools and keep what works. The future is many specialized product-focused agents, not one ruler. A year from now, people still waiting for “readiness” will be behind; asynchronous agents that run long autonomous loops before reporting back will be normal.
“Be curious. Try. And if it works for you, use it. And if it doesn’t, don’t.”
查看原文 →
Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott (long-time programmer and woodworker) notes that last year’s scaling-law doubts have given way to the agentic web. Reasoning has pulled ahead of product delivery, creating a capability overhang. Current agents are transactional and memory-constrained, limiting complex delegation. True usefulness requires tool use, system changes, and rich information sources—an internet-like open ecosystem. MCP is the HTTP of this world; NL Web the HTML. Simple, composable open protocols are emerging. Inside Microsoft he pushes every internal system to speak a standard agent protocol so the company does not ship its org chart. On security he favors open foundations plus agent identities, entitlement queries, and explicit user permission rather than closed stacks. On the craft of coding he compares the old hand-tools-vs-power-tools (and now CNC) debates in woodworking: passionate makers will always have strong opinions, but stay curious—try new tools and keep what works. The future is many specialized product-focused agents, not one ruler. A year from now, people still waiting for “readiness” will be behind; asynchronous agents that run long autonomous loops before reporting back will be normal.
“Be curious. Try. And if it works for you, use it. And if it doesn’t, don’t.”